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BTL Yield to reach 9.15% by 2020?

BTL Yield to reach 9.15% by 2020?
A national buy to let investment website have set out a forecast for rental yields across the UK in the next four years and claims that it expects yields here in Cornwall to reach over 9% by 2020. Some parts of the UK are being forecasted to top 10-11% and I really have to ask - is this really feasible?

Right now the average rental yield nationally is 5.1% (Land Registry March 2016) with an average house price in Cornwall of £190,000 and average rent of £880pcm. We are seeing a steady 3% growth in house prices and according to the Homelet Rental Index a 3.5% growth in rents.

Carry this forward to 2020 and the average house price will be £214,000 and with an average rent of £975. Doing the math this means that the average yield will only be 5.5% - quite a difference to the forecasted 9.15%. In fact to reach this forecast, rents are going to have to rise by more than 15% per year for the next four years in a row!

As a landlord myself, I know that I would love to see rents rocket up and my investment become much more profitable but these figures are perhaps wishful thinking than an accurate forecast.